Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 6.795069e-06 0.000008 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000012 0.000013
2025-01-05 5.489094e-06 0.000006 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013 0.000016
2025-01-12 4.648796e-06 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014 0.000019
2025-01-19 3.991621e-06 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022
2025-01-26 3.540111e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000026
2025-02-02 3.271873e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000020 0.000032
2025-02-09 2.955934e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000022 0.000037
2025-02-16 2.717884e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000025 0.000044
2025-02-23 2.496516e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000016 0.000027 0.000052
2025-03-02 2.273459e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000009 0.000016 0.000029 0.000058
2025-03-09 2.085575e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000016 0.000031 0.000066
2025-03-16 1.950448e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000034 0.000076
2025-03-23 1.821326e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000018 0.000037 0.000089
2025-03-30 1.656300e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000018 0.000038 0.000099
2025-04-06 1.534389e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000018 0.000041 0.000112
2025-04-13 1.420630e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000018 0.000043 0.000126
2025-04-20 1.339275e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000019 0.000047 0.000146
2025-04-27 1.298318e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000021 0.000054 0.000181
2025-05-04 1.227893e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000021 0.000058 0.000209
2025-05-11 1.173294e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000064 0.000248
2025-05-18 1.115771e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000023 0.000069 0.000288
2025-05-25 1.049586e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000024 0.000073 0.000323
2025-06-01 9.907134e-07 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000024 0.000077 0.000363